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Lazio vs Fiorentina: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Serie A 2025/26

Lazio vs Fiorentina: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Serie A 2025/26
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Lazio vs Fiorentina — Match Preview

Serie A action returns to the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday, 7 January 2026, as Lazio host a Fiorentina side fighting for their lives. The Biancocelesti (9th, 24 pts) are looking to rebound immediately after a tough 0–2 home loss to Napoli in their first game of the year. Marco Baroni’s men have been solid but unspectacular, struggling to turn draws into wins (6 draws in 18 games).

They face a Fiorentina side in crisis. Sitting 19th with just 12 points, the Viola are desperate. However, they arrive in Rome with a glimmer of hope after securing a vital 1–0 victory over Cremonese on Sunday—only their second win of the entire campaign. With Lazio missing key forwards and Fiorentina fighting relegation, this mid-week clash could be tighter than the table suggests.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Match Info

  • Competition: Serie A (Matchday 19)
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome (Capacity: 70,634)
  • Date: Wednesday, 7 January 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:45 CET | 19:45 GMT | 14:45 ET
  • Referee: TBC (AIA Appointment)

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Match Stakes

Lazio (9th — 24 pts):

  • Win → Moves to 27 pts; reignites their push for European spots (Conference/Europa League).
  • Draw → Disappointing result at home; leaves them stuck in mid-table mediocrity.
  • Loss → A second consecutive home defeat would set alarm bells ringing; gap to top 6 could widen to 7+ points.

Fiorentina (19th — 12 pts):

  • Win → Moves to 15 pts; potentially lifts them out of the relegation zone depending on other results.
  • Draw → A huge point on the road against a top-half side; builds momentum.
  • Loss → Keeps them in the drop zone; increases pressure after a brief respite vs Cremonese.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Team News

Lazio:

  • Dia B. — Out (International Duty – Senegal/AFCONMajor Loss in Attack)
  • Dele-Bashiru F. — Out (International Duty – Nigeria/AFCON)
  • Marusic A. — Out (Red Card – Suspended)
  • Noslin T. — Out (Red Card – Suspended)
  • Gigot S. — Out (Ankle Injury)
  • Patric — Questionable (Muscle Injury)
  • Lineup Shuffle: With Dia and Noslin out, Taty Castellanos is the guaranteed starter upfront. Manuel Lazzari will replace the suspended Marusic at right-back.

Fiorentina:

  • Lamptey T. — Out (Knee Injury)
  • Fazzini J. — Out (Ankle Injury)
  • Richardson A. — Questionable (Inactive)
  • Dzeko E. — Questionable (Foot Injury)
  • Kean leads the line: Moise Kean remains the focal point of the attack, supported by the creativity of Albert Gudmundsson and Andrea Colpani.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Lazio

  • 04/01 — 0–2 vs Napoli (Serie A)
  • 27/12 — 1–1 vs Udinese (Serie A)
  • 20/12 — 0–0 vs Cremonese (Serie A)
  • 13/12 — 1–0 vs Parma (Serie A)
  • 07/12 — 1–1 vs Bologna (Serie A)

Fiorentina

  • 04/01 — 1–0 vs Cremonese (Serie A)
  • 27/12 — 0–1 vs Parma (Serie A)
  • 21/12 — 5–1 vs Udinese (Serie A)
  • 19/12 — 0–1 vs Lausanne (UECL)
  • 14/12 — 1–2 vs Verona (Serie A)

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

  • 27/01/2025 — Lazio 1–2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
  • 22/09/2024 — Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio (Serie A)
  • 27/02/2024 — Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio (Serie A)
  • 31/10/2023 — Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina (Serie A)
  • 29/01/2023 — Lazio 1–1 Fiorentina (Serie A)

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Lazio (4-2-3-1)

Provedel; Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Rovella; Isaksen, Castrovilli, Zaccagni; Castellanos

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1)

De Gea; Dodo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Gosens; Adli, Mandragora; Colpani, Gudmundsson, Bove; Kean

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Impact Bench

Lazio: Pedro (Veteran experience), Tchaouna (Pace), Vecino (Midfield stability)

Fiorentina: Sottil (Direct winger), Parisi (Defensive cover), Beltran (Goal threat)

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Tactical Analysis

Lazio

Lazio are missing their most dynamic forward in Boulaye Dia. Without him and Noslin, the attack lacks unpredictability. They will rely heavily on Mattia Zaccagni cutting inside from the left and Guendouzi’s late runs into the box. Defensively, they are solid (only 14 conceded), but they struggle to break down low blocks—something Fiorentina might employ to protect their fragile defense.

Fiorentina

Despite their lowly position, Fiorentina actually score goals (18 goals is same as Lazio). Their issue is defense (-10 GD). After a morale-boosting clean sheet vs Cremonese, they will try to stay compact. David de Gea has been busy this season and will need to be at his best. In attack, they will look to Moise Kean to bully Lazio’s center-backs and hold up play for Gudmundsson.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Key Battles

  • Castellanos vs Ranieri — Can Lazio’s striker fill the void left by Dia?
  • Zaccagni vs Dodo — The key tactical battle on the flank; Dodo loves to attack, leaving space behind.
  • Guendouzi vs Adli — A battle of French midfielders for control of the engine room.
  • Kean vs Romagnoli — Physical duel; Kean is Fiorentina’s main outlet.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Spotlight Players

Lazio — Taty Castellanos

With Dia at AFCON and Noslin suspended, the pressure is squarely on Castellanos. He has often played second fiddle, but tonight he must lead the line and provide the goals Lazio desperately need.

Fiorentina — David de Gea

The veteran goalkeeper is the only reason Fiorentina aren’t further adrift. Against a Lazio side that will dominate possession, he will likely face a barrage of shots and crosses.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Prediction

Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina

This won’t be a classic. Lazio are struggling for goals without Dia, and Fiorentina will be desperate to build on their recent win. However, Lazio’s defensive organization is far superior. Expect a tight game settled by a single moment of quality—likely from Zaccagni or a set-piece.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Betting Insights

  • Under 2.5 Goals — High Probability (Lazio’s last 3 games have all been Under 2.5).
  • Lazio to Win — Likely.
  • Clean Sheet Lazio — Value Bet.

Lazio vs Fiorentina — Where to Watch

  • Italy: DAZN / Sky Sport
  • USA: Paramount+
  • UK: TNT Sports

Lazio vs Fiorentina — FAQs

Q: When is the Lazio vs Fiorentina match?

A: The match kicks off on Wednesday, 7 January 2026, at 20:45 CET.

Q: Is Boulaye Dia playing?

A: No. He is on international duty with Senegal for AFCON.

Q: Is Adam Marusic playing?

A: No. He is suspended after receiving a red card.

Call to Action — SportsphereArena Community

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