Genoa vs Cagliari: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Serie A 2025/26

Genoa vs Cagliari — Match Preview

A massive relegation six-pointer takes place at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Monday, 12 January 2026, as Genoa host Cagliari. The Grifone (17th, 16 points) are hovering dangerously close to the drop zone but will take heart from a spirited 1–1 draw against AC Milan at San Siro just three days ago. However, they remain winless in their last five outings. Cagliari (14th, 19 points) sit just three points above their hosts and arrive off the back of a chaotic 2–2 draw with Cremonese. With recent history suggesting goals and draws between these two, the Marassi crowd will be edgy as Alberto Gilardino’s men look to drag the Sardinians back into the fight.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Match Info

• Competition: Serie A (Matchday 20)
• Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa (Capacity: 36,599)
• Date: Monday, 12 January 2026
• Kickoff: 20:45 CET | 19:45 GMT | 14:45 ET
• Referee: Federico La Penna (ITA)

Genoa vs Cagliari — Match Stakes

Genoa (17th — 16 pts):

• Win → Moves to 19 pts; draws level with Cagliari and drags a direct rival into the mire.
• Draw → Maintains the status quo; keeps them out of the bottom three for now but extends the winless run.
• Loss → Disaster; could drop into the relegation zone if Verona won; gap to safety/mid-table widens.

Cagliari (14th — 19 pts):

• Win → Moves to 22 pts; opens a crucial 6-point gap over Genoa and provides breathing room.
• Draw → A solid away point that keeps Genoa at arm’s length.
• Loss → Dragged right back into the relegation scrap; pressure mounts on Davide Nicola.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Team News

Genoa:

• Messias J. — Out (Calf Injury – Creative Spark Missing)
• Gronbaek A. — Out (Injury)
• Ekuban C. — Out (Muscle Injury)
• Onana J. — Out (International Duty – AFCON)
• Cornet M. — Out (Injury)
• Siegrist B. — Out (Finger Injury)
• Reliability: Despite absences, the midfield duo of Frendrup and Malinovskyi remains intact and crucial for stability.

Cagliari:

• Belotti A. — Out (Knee Injury – Top Striker Missing)
• Pedro J. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Folorunsho M. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Deiola A. — Out (Thigh Injury)
• Felici M. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Attack Reshuffle: Without Belotti and Joao Pedro, the goalscoring burden falls on youngster Sebastiano Esposito and the creative Gianluca Gaetano.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Genoa

• 09/01 — 1–1 vs AC Milan (Serie A)
• 03/01 — 1–1 vs Pisa (Serie A)
• 30/12 — 1–3 vs AS Roma (Serie A)
• 22/12 — 0–1 vs Atalanta (Serie A)
• 14/12 — 1–2 vs Inter (Serie A)

Cagliari

• 08/01 — 2–2 vs Cremonese (Serie A)
• 03/01 — 0–1 vs AC Milan (Serie A)
• 27/12 — 2–1 vs Torino (Serie A)
• 21/12 — 2–2 vs Pisa (Serie A)
• 14/12 — 1–2 vs Atalanta (Serie A)

Genoa vs Cagliari — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 22/11/2025 — Cagliari 3–3 Genoa (Serie A)
• 08/03/2025 — Cagliari 1–1 Genoa (Serie A)
• 24/11/2024 — Genoa 2–2 Cagliari (Serie A)
• 30/04/2024 — Genoa 3–0 Cagliari (Serie A)
• 05/11/2023 — Cagliari 2–1 Genoa (Serie A)

Genoa vs Cagliari — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Genoa (3-5-2)

Leali; Marcandalli, Otoa, Vasquez; Norton-Cuffy, Malinovskyi, Frendrup, Ellertsson, Martin; Vitinha, Colombo

Cagliari (3-5-1-1)

Caprile; Zappa, Rodriguez, Luperto; Palestra, Adopo, Prati, Mazzitelli, Obert; Gaetano; Esposito

Genoa vs Cagliari — Impact Bench

Genoa: Pinamonti (Goal threat), Bohinen (Control)

Cagliari: Lapadula (Veteran scorer), Viola (Set-piece specialist)

Genoa vs Cagliari — Tactical Analysis

Genoa

Playing at the Ferraris, Genoa must dictate play. Without Junior Messias, they lack flair in the final third, so Ruslan Malinovskyi’s long-range shooting becomes a primary weapon. They will look to overload the flanks with Norton-Cuffy and Aaron Martin, aiming to feed Vitinha and Colombo in the box. Their recent defensive display against Milan (1–1) showed grit they need to replicate here.

Cagliari

Cagliari have been involved in high-scoring draws recently (3–3 vs Genoa in reverse fixture, 2–2 vs Cremonese). Their defense is leaky, but they carry a threat on the counter through Gaetano. Without Belotti, they lack a physical hold-up player, so they will likely play more direct balls into the channels for Esposito to chase. The midfield battle between Prati/Mazzitelli and Frendrup/Malinovskyi will decide the game.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Key Battles

• Colombo vs Luperto — Genoa’s striker vs Cagliari’s defensive leader.
• Frendrup vs Gaetano — The tireless tackler marking Cagliari’s playmaker.
• Norton-Cuffy vs Obert — Pace on the wing vs Cagliari’s wide center-back/wing-back.
• Leali vs Esposito — Can Genoa’s keeper stop the young striker?

Genoa vs Cagliari — Spotlight Players

Genoa — Ruslan Malinovskyi

The Ukrainian has a rocket of a left foot. In a tight game against a relegation rival, a moment of magic from outside the box could be the difference-maker.

Cagliari — Sebastiano Esposito

Stepping into Belotti’s shoes is a big ask. Esposito has the talent, but he needs to show maturity and clinical finishing to secure a vital away result.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Prediction

Genoa 1–1 Cagliari

History repeats itself. The last three meetings have ended in draws (3-3, 1-1, 2-2), and both teams arrive with similar form and significant absences. Neither side has the firepower to comfortably kill the game off, and both are terrified of losing. Expect a tense, nervy stalemate at the Marassi.

Genoa vs Cagliari — Betting Insights

• Draw — High Probability (H2H trend is strong).
• Both Teams to Score — YES (Both defenses are fragile).
• Under 2.5 Goals — Possible (Fear of losing may dominate).

Genoa vs Cagliari — Where to Watch

• Italy: DAZN
• USA: Paramount+
• UK: TNT Sports

Genoa vs Cagliari — FAQs

Q: When is the Genoa vs Cagliari match?

A: The match kicks off on Monday, 12 January 2026, at 20:45 CET.

Q: Is Andrea Belotti playing?

A: No. The Cagliari striker is out with a knee injury.

Q: Who is the favorite?

A: It is a very balanced game, with the Draw being the most likely outcome based on recent H2H history.

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