Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Spanish Super Cup Final 2026

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Match Preview

The world stops for El Clásico on Sunday, 11 January 2026, as Barcelona and Real Madrid collide in the Spanish Super Cup Final at King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah. This is the dream final fans wanted. Barcelona enter the match in frightening form, having crushed Athletic Bilbao 5–0 in the semi-final and keeping five consecutive clean sheets across all competitions. Real Madrid, fresh off a gritty 2–1 derby win over Atlético Madrid in their semi-final, are looking for revenge after losing this exact fixture 2–5 last year. With the first silverware of the season on the line, the stakes in Saudi Arabia are monumental.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Match Info

• Competition: Spanish Super Cup (Final)
• Venue: King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah (Capacity: 62,345)
• Date: Sunday, 11 January 2026
• Kickoff: 20:00 SAST | 18:00 CET | 17:00 GMT | 12:00 ET
• Referee: TBC (RFEF Appointment)

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Match Stakes

Barcelona:

• Win → Retains the Super Cup title; confirms their defensive dominance (currently on a 5-game clean sheet streak).
• Loss → A painful blow against their eternal rivals; ends the “perfect” run of recent weeks.

Real Madrid:

• Win → Revenge for the 2–5 humiliation in last year’s Super Cup final; secures the first trophy of the 2025/26 campaign.
• Loss → Second consecutive Super Cup final loss to Barcelona; raises questions about the attack without Kylian Mbappé.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Team News

Barcelona:

• Araujo R. — Out (Personal Reasons – Defensive Rock Missing)
• ter Stegen M. — Out (Injury – Captain Missing)
• Christensen A. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Gavi — Out (Knee Injury)
• Defensive Wall: Despite the absences, Inaki Peña has kept 5 clean sheets in a row. The partnership of Pau Cubarsí and Jules Koundé (or Iñigo Martínez) has been impenetrable.

Real Madrid:

• Mbappé K. — Out (Knee Injury – Superstar Missing)
• Militao E. — Out (Hamstring Injury)
• Rest Disadvantage: Real Madrid played their semi-final on Friday, giving them 24 hours less rest than Barcelona, who played Thursday.
• Attack Reshuffle: Without Mbappé, Vinícius Jr. and Rodrygo will lead the line, with Jude Bellingham operating in the advanced role behind them.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Barcelona

• 08/01 — 5–0 vs Athletic Bilbao (Super Cup Semi)
• 04/01 — 2–0 vs Espanyol (La Liga)
• 21/12 — 2–0 vs Villarreal (La Liga)
• 17/12 — 2–0 vs Guadalajara (Copa del Rey)
• 13/12 — 2–0 vs Osasuna (La Liga)

Real Madrid

• 09/01 — 2–1 vs Atl. Madrid (Super Cup Semi)
• 04/01 — 5–1 vs Real Betis (La Liga)
• 21/12 — 2–0 vs Sevilla (La Liga)
• 18/12 — 3–2 vs CF Talavera (Copa del Rey)
• 15/12 — 2–1 vs Alavés (La Liga)

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 26/10/2025 — Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona (La Liga)
• 11/05/2025 — Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid (La Liga)
• 27/04/2025 — Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid (Copa del Rey)
• 13/01/2025 — Real Madrid 2–5 Barcelona (Super Cup Final)
• 27/10/2024 — Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona (La Liga)

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Barcelona (4-3-3)

Peña; Koundé, Cubarsí, Martínez, Balde; Casadó, Pedri, De Jong; Lamine Yamal, Lewandowski, Raphinha

Real Madrid (4-3-1-2)

Courtois; Carvajal, Rüdiger, Alaba, Mendy; Valverde, Tchouaméni, Camavinga; Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinícius Jr.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Impact Bench

Barcelona: Dani Olmo (Game changer), Fermín López (Energy)

Real Madrid: Endrick (Goal threat), Brahim Díaz (Dribbling)

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Tactical Analysis

Barcelona

Hansi Flick (or current boss) has turned Barcelona into a machine. They haven’t conceded a single goal in five games. Their high line is risky but effective. Without Araujo to handle Vinícius’s speed, Koundé will likely shift to right-back or mark him tightly. In attack, Lamine Yamal and Raphinha are in blistering form, cutting inside to feed Lewandowski.

Real Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti faces two problems: Fatigue (24 hours less rest) and the absence of Mbappé. Real will likely surrender possession and look to hit Barcelona on the counter-attack. Vinícius Jr. vs Cubarsí/Koundé is the defining matchup. Bellingham’s late runs into the box will be crucial to disrupting Barcelona’s organized clean-sheet structure.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Key Battles

• Vinícius Jr. vs Koundé — The classic El Clásico duel. Speed vs Positioning.
• Lewandowski vs Rüdiger — Physical battle in the box.
• Pedri vs Valverde — Control vs Energy in midfield.
• Lamine Yamal vs Mendy — Can the wonderkid unlock Madrid’s best defensive fullback?

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Spotlight Players

Barcelona — Raphinha

The Brazilian is often the unsung hero, but his work rate and recent scoring form (part of the 5-0 win) make him indispensable. He exposes space for Yamal on the other side.

Real Madrid — Jude Bellingham

Without Mbappé, the spotlight returns to Jude. He thrives in big moments. Real need him to dominate the space between Barcelona’s midfield and defense.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Prediction

Barcelona 3–1 Real Madrid

Barcelona have the fresher legs (played Thursday) and a significantly better defense (0 goals conceded in 5 games). Real Madrid are leaking goals (conceded vs Atletico, Talavera, Alaves) and missing the X-factor of Mbappé. While Real never dies in finals, Barcelona’s current momentum and rest advantage should see them retain the Super Cup.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Betting Insights

• Over 2.5 Goals — Very Likely (Last 5 H2Hs have all been Over 2.5).
• Both Teams to Score — YES.
• Barcelona to Lift the Trophy — Value Bet.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — Where to Watch

• Spain: Movistar+
• USA: ESPN+
• International: Saudi Sports Company (SSC)

Barcelona vs Real Madrid — FAQs

Q: When is the El Clásico Super Cup Final?

A: Sunday, 11 January 2026.

Q: Is Kylian Mbappé playing?

A: No. He is ruled out with a knee injury.

Q: Who won the last Super Cup?

A: Barcelona won 5–2 against Real Madrid in January 2025.

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