Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction, Lineups & Kickoff Time | EFL CUP Semi-Final (1st Leg)

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Match Preview

Stamford Bridge hosts a blockbuster London Derby on Wednesday, 14 January 2026, as Chelsea take on Arsenal in the Carabao Cup Semi-Final First Leg. The stakes are enormous: a step closer to the first silverware of the season at Wembley.

Chelsea enter this tie in mixed spirits. While they thrashed Charlton 5–1 in the FA Cup on Sunday to end a winless run, their league form has been dreadful. Enzo Maresca knows the EFL Cup represents his best chance to salvage a difficult season. Arsenal, unbeaten in 2026 and fighting on all fronts, arrive after a 0–0 draw with Liverpool and a routine 4–1 FA Cup win over Portsmouth. Mikel Arteta will be desperate to secure a lead to take back to the Emirates, having dominated this fixture in recent years.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Match Info

• Competition: Carabao Cup (EFL Cup) — Semi-Final (First Leg)
• Venue: Stamford Bridge, London (Capacity: 40,341)
• Date: Wednesday, 14 January 2026
• Kickoff: 20:00 GMT | 21:00 CET | 15:00 ET
• Referee: Anthony Taylor (ENG)

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Match Stakes

The Prize: The winner over two legs will face either Newcastle United or Manchester City in the Carabao Cup Final at Wembley.

Chelsea:

• Win → Vital advantage before the away leg; a massive confidence booster for a struggling squad.
• Draw → Keeps the tie alive, but leaves them vulnerable heading to the Emirates for the second leg.
• Loss → A devastating blow; effectively ends hopes of silverware unless they produce a miracle in North London.

Arsenal:

• Win → Puts one foot in the final; allows them to manage the second leg comfortably.
• Draw → A solid result away from home; makes them heavy favorites to finish the job at the Emirates.
• Loss → A setback, but not fatal given the second leg is at home.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Team News

Chelsea:

• Colwill L. — Out (Knee Injury – Huge Miss)
• Lavia R. — Out (Thigh Injury)
• Mudryk M. — Out (Suspended – Carryover/Disciplinary)
• Wiley C. — Out (Muscle Injury)
• Cup GK: Filip Jörgensen has played the cup games, but Maresca may stick with Robert Sanchez given the magnitude of a semi-final.
• Rotation: Cole Palmer and Moises Caicedo were rested/subbed early against Charlton and will start. The backline remains a worry without Colwill.

Arsenal:

• Calafiori R. — Out (Injury)
• Mosquera C. — Out (Ankle Injury)
• Dowman M. — Out (Ankle Injury)
• Strong XI: As this is a semi-final, Arteta is expected to name his strongest possible team.
• Timber returns: Jurrien Timber likely starts at left-back. Ethan Nwaneri may feature on the bench after impressing in earlier rounds.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Chelsea

• 11/01 — 5–1 vs Charlton (FA Cup)
• 08/01 — 1–2 vs Fulham (Premier League)
• 04/01 — 1–1 vs Man City (Premier League)
• 31/12 — 2–2 vs Bournemouth (Premier League)
• 27/12 — 1–2 vs Aston Villa (Premier League)

Arsenal

• 11/01 — 4–1 vs Portsmouth (FA Cup)
• 09/01 — 0–0 vs Liverpool (Premier League)
• 03/01 — 3–2 vs Bournemouth (Premier League)
• 31/12 — 4–1 vs Aston Villa (Premier League)
• 27/12 — 2–1 vs Brighton (Premier League)

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 30/11/2025 — Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal (Premier League)
• 16/03/2025 — Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea (Premier League)
• 10/11/2024 — Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal (Premier League)
• 24/04/2024 — Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea (Premier League)
• 21/10/2023 — Chelsea 2–2 Arsenal (Premier League)

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Adarabioyo, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Jackson

Arsenal (4-3-3)

Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber; Rice, Merino, Odegaard; Saka, Havertz, Martinelli

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Impact Bench

Chelsea: Nkunku (Cup specialist?), Felix (Game changer), Sancho

Arsenal: Jesus (Experience), Trossard (The clutch finisher), Sterling

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Tactical Analysis

Chelsea

In a two-legged tie, the first leg at home is tricky. Maresca cannot afford to be too open, but he needs a lead. Without Levi Colwill, Chelsea struggle to build from the back under pressure. They will look to Cole Palmer to find spaces behind Declan Rice. Expect Chelsea to be cautious in the first half to avoid the tie being “killed” early.

Arsenal

Arteta will be pragmatic. The 0–0 vs Liverpool showed Arsenal’s defensive maturity. They will look to control possession and frustrate the Stamford Bridge crowd. Their set-pieces (Gabriel/Saliba) will be a massive weapon against a Chelsea side that often panics at corners. Arsenal will likely target Marc Cucurella with Bukayo Saka, looking to isolate the fullback 1v1.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Key Battles

• Cucurella vs Saka — The decisive duel. If Saka wins this, Arsenal win.
• Palmer vs Rice/Merino — Can Chelsea’s star find space in a congested midfield?
• Jackson vs Gabriel — A physical battle; Jackson needs to hold the ball up to relieve pressure.
• Maresca vs Arteta — The rookie vs the experienced tactician in knockout football.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Spotlight Players

Chelsea — Moises Caicedo

Against his old transfer rivals, Caicedo needs to dominate the midfield. If he loses the battle to Rice and Merino, Chelsea will be overrun.

Arsenal — Kai Havertz

Returning to Stamford Bridge is always special for him. His movement as a false 9 (or midfielder) causes chaos. A goal here would be poetic and crucial for Arsenal’s final hopes.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Prediction

Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal

First legs of semi-finals are often cagey. Arsenal are the better team, but they looked tired against Liverpool (0-0). Chelsea have the firepower (Palmer/Nkunku) to hurt anyone on their day. Expect a tense, low-scoring draw that leaves everything to play for at the Emirates in the second leg.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Betting Insights

• Under 2.5 Goals — Likely (First leg tension).
• Draw — Value Bet.
• Bukayo Saka 1+ Shot on Target — Banker.

Chelsea vs Arsenal — Where to Watch

• UK: Sky Sports Main Event / Football
• USA: Paramount+ (Exclusive for EFL Cup)
• International: beIN Sports / DAZN

Chelsea vs Arsenal — FAQs

Q: Is there VAR in the semi-finals?

A: Yes, VAR is used in the Carabao Cup semi-finals.

Q: Is there extra time?

A: No. If the aggregate score is level after the second leg, the match goes straight to penalties (no away goals rule).

Q: When is the second leg?

A: The second leg will be played at the Emirates Stadium in the first week of February.

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