Nigeria vs Mozambique: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | AFCON 2025 Round of 16

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Match Preview

The knockout stages of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations heat up on Monday, 5 January 2026, as three-time champions Nigeria lock horns with underdogs Mozambique at the Complexe Sportif de Fès. The Super Eagles soared through the group stages with a perfect record, winning all three matches and scoring a tournament-high 8 goals. They capped off Group C with a commanding 3–1 win over Uganda, even while resting key stars.

Mozambique, on the other hand, have created history by reaching the knockout rounds for the very first time. They qualified as one of the best third-placed teams from Group F, thanks to a thrilling 3–2 victory over Gabon. While the Mambas lost their final group game 1–2 to Cameroon, their fearless attacking play suggests they won’t be pushovers for the West African giants.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Match Info

• Competition: AFCON 2025 (Round of 16)
• Venue: Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès (Capacity: 45,000)
• Date: Monday, 5 January 2026
• Kickoff: 20:00 WAT | 19:00 GMT | 14:00 ET
• Referee: TBC (CAF Appointment)

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Match Stakes

Nigeria:

• Win → Advances to the Quarter-finals to face the winner of DR Congo vs Algeria/Senegal.
• Loss → A massive shock exit; considered a failure given their current form and squad depth.

Mozambique:

• Win → The greatest result in the nation’s footballing history; a fairytale quarter-final berth.
• Loss → Elimination, but they leave with heads held high having achieved their pre-tournament goal of making the knockouts.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Team News

Nigeria:

• Dessers C. — Out (Thigh Injury – Ruled out of Tournament)
• Alebiosu R. — Questionable (Leg Injury – Deep cut sustained vs Uganda)
• Nnadi T. — Questionable (Illness)
• Rotation Returns: Expect Victor Osimhen, Ademola Lookman, Stanley Nwabali, and Alex Iwobi to return to the starting lineup after being rested against Uganda.
• Selection Headache: Raphael Onyedika scored a brace against Uganda, giving Eric Chelle a tough decision in midfield alongside Wilfred Ndidi or Frank Onyeka.

Mozambique:

• Diogo Calila — Questionable (Injury)
• Nene — Questionable (Injury)
• Reinildo Mandava — Available (Expected to return to the starting XI after rotation)
• Geny Catamo — Available (The Sporting CP winger is their key threat)
• Suspension Risk: Several players are on yellow cards, but the slate is typically not wiped clean until the quarter-finals, so discipline is key.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Nigeria

• 30/12 — 3–1 vs Uganda (AFCON)
• 28/12 — 3–2 vs Tunisia (AFCON)
• 23/12 — 2–1 vs Tanzania (AFCON)
• 16/12 — 1–2 vs Egypt (Friendly)
• 17/11 — 1–2 vs D.R. Congo (WC Qualifier)

Mozambique

• 01/01 — 1–2 vs Cameroon (AFCON)
• 28/12 — 3–2 vs Gabon (AFCON)
• 24/12 — 0–1 vs Ivory Coast (AFCON)
• 17/12 — 1–4 vs Angola (Friendly)
• 17/11 — 2–2 vs Chad (Friendly)

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 16/10/2023 — Nigeria 3–2 Mozambique (Friendly)
• 15/01/2014 — Nigeria 4–2 Mozambique (CHAN)
• 20/01/2010 — Nigeria 3–0 Mozambique (AFCON)
• 11/10/2009 — Nigeria 1–0 Mozambique (WC Qualifier)
• 29/03/2009 — Mozambique 0–0 Nigeria (WC Qualifier)

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Nigeria (3-4-3)

Nwabali; Ajayi, Troost-Ekong, Bassey; Aina, Ndidi, Iwobi, Sanusi; Chukwueze, Osimhen, Lookman

Mozambique (4-2-3-1)

Ernani; Macandza, Mexer, Dove, Mandava; Amade, Guima; Witi, Dominguês, Catamo; Rato

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Impact Bench

Nigeria: Boniface (Physical presence), Simon (Pace and direct running), Onyedika (Goalscoring midfielder)

Mozambique: Gildo (Energy on the wing), Clésio (Experience)

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Tactical Analysis

Nigeria

The Super Eagles have been devastating in attack, utilizing a fluid front three. With Victor Osimhen occupying defenders, space often opens up for Ademola Lookman and Samuel Chukwueze. Defensively, they have conceded in every group game, so tightening up the backline is the priority. They will look to dominate possession and use the width provided by Ola Aina and Zaidu Sanusi to stretch Mozambique.

Mozambique

The Mambas play fearless, counter-attacking football. They will likely cede possession to Nigeria and look to exploit the space behind Nigeria’s wing-backs using the speed of Geny Catamo. Their defense, led by Atletico Madrid’s Reinildo Mandava, must play the game of their lives to contain Osimhen. Set-pieces will be their best route to goal.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Key Battles

• Osimhen vs Mexer — The African Player of the Year vs the veteran defender.
• Catamo vs Sanusi — Mozambique’s trickiest winger against Nigeria’s attacking fullback.
• Iwobi vs Dominguês — Battle of the playmakers in the middle of the park.
• Nwabali vs Rato — Can the Nigeria GK finally keep a clean sheet?

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Spotlight Players

Nigeria — Ademola Lookman

The Atalanta forward has been electric, registering 4 goal contributions in just two starts. His ability to drift inside and shoot makes him a nightmare to mark.

Mozambique — Geny Catamo

The Sporting CP star is the one player in this Mozambique side with genuine world-class potential. He scored a stunner against Cameroon and will need to produce another moment of magic if the Mambas are to cause an upset.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Prediction

Nigeria 3–1 Mozambique

Mozambique have done incredibly well to reach this stage, but Nigeria looks like a team on a mission. The Super Eagles have too much firepower in Osimhen, Lookman, and Boniface for a Mozambique defense that has conceded 5 goals in the group stage. Expect a spirited effort from the Mambas, but Nigeria should advance comfortably.

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Betting Insights

• Nigeria to Win — High Probability.
• Over 2.5 Goals — Likely (Both teams scoring and conceding freely).
• Victor Osimhen to Score — High Value (Rested and hungry).

Nigeria vs Mozambique — Where to Watch

• Nigeria: SuperSport, NTA Sports 24
• Mozambique: TVM
• UK: Sky Sports Football
• International: beIN Sports

Nigeria vs Mozambique — FAQs

Q: When is the Nigeria vs Mozambique match?

A: The match kicks off on Monday, 5 January 2026, at 20:00 WAT (19:00 GMT).

Q: Is Cyriel Dessers playing?

A: No. He has been ruled out of the tournament with a thigh injury.

Q: Has Mozambique ever beaten Nigeria?

A: No. In 5 previous meetings, Nigeria has won 4 and drawn 1.

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