Cagliari vs AC Milan: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Serie A 2025/26

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Match Preview

The new year kicks off in Sardinia as title-chasing AC Milan visit the Unipol Domus to face Cagliari on Sunday, 4 January 2026. The Rossoneri sit 2nd in the table with 35 points, hot on the heels of the league leaders. They enter this clash in high spirits after a dominant 3–0 victory over Verona to close out 2025. Cagliari, currently 14th with 18 points, have been a tough nut to crack at home recently. Davide Nicola’s side ended the year with a vital 2–1 away win at Torino and will look to frustrate Milan just as they did in the thrilling 3–3 draw in this fixture back in 2024.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Match Info

• Competition: Serie A (Matchday 18)
• Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari (Capacity: 16,416)
• Date: Sunday, 4 January 2026
• Kickoff: 18:00 CET | 17:00 GMT | 12:00 ET
• Referee: Rosario Abisso (ITA)

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Match Stakes

Cagliari (14th — 18 pts):

• Win → Moves to 21 pts; huge step towards mid-table safety.
• Draw → A bonus point against a title contender; maintains momentum from the Torino win.
• Loss → Keeps them looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone (only 4-5 points clear).

AC Milan (2nd — 35 pts):

• Win → Moves to 38 pts; keeps the pressure on the league leaders (likely Inter or Napoli).
• Draw → Two points dropped in the Scudetto race; allows chasers to close the gap.
• Loss → A damaging defeat that could see them slip to 3rd; ends their unbeaten league run since mid-December.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Team News

Cagliari:

• Belotti A. — Out (Knee Injury – Top Striker Missing)
• Luvumbo Z. — Out (International Duty – AFCON 2025 with Angola)
• Liteta J. — Out (International Duty – AFCON 2025 with Zambia)
• Folorunsho M. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Mina Y. — Questionable (Illness)
• Attack Depleted: With Belotti and Luvumbo out, the goal-scoring burden falls on youngster Sebastiano Esposito and playmaker Gianluca Gaetano.

AC Milan:

• Gimenez S. — Out (Ankle Injury – Star Striker Missing)
• Pedro J. — Questionable (Knee Injury)
• Rodriguez J. — Questionable (Illness)
• Modric L. — Available (Veteran presence in midfield)
• Nkunku C. — Available (Expected to lead the line in Gimenez’s absence)
• Full Strength Defense: Tomori and Pavlovic are fit to start, providing a solid base.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Cagliari

• 27/12 — 2–1 vs Torino (Serie A)
• 21/12 — 2–2 vs Pisa (Serie A)
• 14/12 — 1–2 vs Atalanta (Serie A)
• 07/12 — 1–0 vs AS Roma (Serie A)
• 03/12 — 1–2 vs Napoli (Coppa Italia)

AC Milan

• 28/12 — 3–0 vs Verona (Serie A)
• 19/12 — 0–2 vs Napoli (Supercoppa)
• 14/12 — 2–2 vs Sassuolo (Serie A)
• 09/12 — 3–2 vs Torino (Serie A)
• 05/12 — 0–1 vs Lazio (Coppa Italia)

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 12/01/2025 — AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari (Serie A)
• 09/11/2024 — Cagliari 3–3 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 12/05/2024 — AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari (Serie A)
• 03/01/2024 — AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari (Coppa Italia)
• 27/09/2023 — Cagliari 1–3 AC Milan (Serie A)

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Cagliari (4-3-1-2)

Caprile; Zappa, Luperto, Obert, Palestra; Deiola, Prati, Adopo; Gaetano; Cavuoti, Esposito

AC Milan (4-2-3-1)

Maignan; Saelemaekers, Tomori, Pavlovic, Bartesaghi; Loftus-Cheek, Rabiot; Pulisic, Modric, Nkunku; De Winter (Tactical Shift or False 9/Rotation) [Note: Lineup shows Nkunku likely leading the line with Modric in #10]

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Impact Bench

Cagliari: Lapadula (Experience upfront), Jankto (Midfield energy)

AC Milan: Okafor (Pace), Chukwueze (Dribbling vs tired legs)

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Tactical Analysis

Cagliari

Without their primary outlets (Belotti’s hold-up play and Luvumbo’s speed), Cagliari must adapt. Davide Nicola will likely pack the midfield with Deiola, Prati, and Adopo to stifle Milan’s creative zones. They will rely on Gianluca Gaetano’s set-piece delivery and Esposito’s movement to snatch a goal.

AC Milan

Paulo Fonseca (or current manager) has a wealth of midfield talent. Even without Santi Gimenez, an attack featuring Christopher Nkunku and Christian Pulisic is lethal. The inclusion of Luka Modric suggests Milan want total control of possession. They will look to overload the wings, with Pulisic isolating Cagliari’s young full-back Palestra. The key will be patience against Cagliari’s low block.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Key Battles

• Esposito vs Tomori — Young striker vs elite defender.
• Gaetano vs Rabiot — Creative spark vs midfield engine.
• Zappa vs Nkunku — Stopping Milan’s most dangerous attacker.
• Caprile vs Pulisic — GK needs to be alert to shots cutting inside.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Spotlight Players

Cagliari — Sebastiano Esposito

With the senior strikers out, this is a massive opportunity for the youngster. His technical ability is unquestioned, but can he handle the physicality of Pavlovic and Tomori?

AC Milan — Luka Modric

The timeless maestro pulls the strings. In a game where Cagliari will sit deep, Modric’s ability to find the “needle-in-a-haystack” pass will be the difference between a draw and a win.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Prediction

Cagliari 0–2 AC Milan

Cagliari are missing too much firepower (Belotti, Luvumbo) to seriously threaten a focused Milan defense. The Rossoneri have the depth to cope with their own absences and possess far superior quality in the final third. Expect a professional away performance to start 2026.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Betting Insights

• AC Milan to Win — High Probability.
• Under 2.5 Goals — Likely (Cagliari attack depleted).
• AC Milan Clean Sheet — YES.

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Where to Watch

• Italy: DAZN
• USA: Paramount+
• UK: TNT Sports

Cagliari vs AC Milan — FAQs

Q: When is the Cagliari vs AC Milan match?

A: The match kicks off on Sunday, 4 January 2026, at 18:00 CET.

Q: Is Zito Luvumbo playing?

A: No. He is on international duty with Angola for AFCON 2025.

Q: Is Santi Gimenez playing?

A: No. The Milan striker is out with an ankle injury.

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3/1/2026 Matches

Cagliari vs AC Milan — Match Preview