Toluca vs Tigres UANL: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Liga MX Apertura 2025 Final (2nd Leg)

On: December 13, 2025 1:06 AM

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Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Match Preview

The defining moment of the Apertura 2025 season arrives at the Estadio Nemesio Díez on Monday, 15 December 2025. After a tight first leg at El Volcán where Tigres UANL secured a slender 1–0 advantage, the action shifts to the high altitude of Toluca. The Diablos Rojos must overturn the deficit at home, where they have been a fortress all season. Tigres, the seasoned veterans of Liguilla finals, arrive looking to manage the game and secure their ninth league title.¹ With the aggregate score at 1–0, everything is still to play for in La Bombonera.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Match Info

Competition: Liga MX Apertura 2025 (Final – Second Leg)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca (Capacity: 27,273)
Date: Monday, 15 December 2025
Kickoff: 20:00 CST | 21:00 EST | 02:00 GMT (Tuesday)
Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz (Expected)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Match Stakes

Deportivo Toluca (Trailing 0–1 on Agg):

Win by 2+ Goals → CHAMPIONS (Wins on aggregate)
Win by 1 Goal → Forces Extra Time & Penalties (No away goals rule in Final)
Draw or Loss → Runners-up

Tigres UANL (Leading 1–0 on Agg):

Win or Draw → CHAMPIONS (Secures title)
Loss by 1 Goal → Forces Extra Time & Penalties
Loss by 2+ Goals → Runners-up

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Team News

Toluca:

Morales R. — Out (Suspended – Red Card in 1st Leg)
Luan — Out (Muscle Injury)
Vega A. — Questionable (Muscle Injury – Critical Decision)
Angulo J. — Questionable (Injury)
Garcia B. — Likely to start in defense replacement

Tigres UANL:

Tapia F. — Questionable (Injury)
Gignac A. — Available (Rested midweek, fit for final)
Brunetta J. — Available (Key playmaker)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Toluca

12/12 — 0–1 vs Tigres UANL (Final Leg 1)
07/12 — 3–2 vs Monterrey (Semi-final)
04/12 — 0–1 vs Monterrey (Semi-final)
30/11 — 0–0 vs Juarez (Quarter-final)
27/11 — 2–1 vs Juarez (Quarter-final)

Tigres UANL

12/12 — 1–0 vs Toluca (Final Leg 1)
07/12 — 1–1 vs Cruz Azul (Semi-final)
04/12 — 1–1 vs Cruz Azul (Semi-final)
30/11 — 5–0 vs Club Tijuana (Quarter-final)
27/11 — 0–3 vs Club Tijuana (Quarter-final)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

12/12/2025 — Tigres 1–0 Toluca (Liga MX Final)
27/07/2025 — Toluca 3–4 Tigres (Liga MX)
18/05/2025 — Toluca 3–0 Tigres (Liguilla)
15/05/2025 — Tigres 1–1 Toluca (Liguilla)
02/02/2025 — Toluca 1–0 Tigres (Liga MX)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Toluca (4-2-3-1)

Volpi; Garcia, Pereira, Bruno Mendez, Gallardo; Baeza, Ruiz; Dominguez, Angulo, Vega (if fit); Paulinho

Tigres UANL (4-2-3-1)

Guzman; Aquino, Pizarro, Joaquim, Angulo; Carioca, Gorriaran; Lainez, Brunetta, Cordova; Gignac

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Impact Bench

Toluca: Isaías (Pace on wing), Lopez (Midfield control)

Tigres UANL: Ibáñez (Goal scorer), Vigón (Energy/Pressing)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Tactical Analysis

Toluca

Renato Paiva’s side has no choice but to attack. Playing at 2,600m altitude, they will try to suffocate Tigres with high intensity in the first 20 minutes. The loss of Robert Morales (Red Card) hurts their depth, meaning Paulinho must play the full 90. If Alexis Vega is fit, he will drift inside to overload the midfield against Carioca. Volpi’s distribution will be key to bypassing Tigres’ press.

Tigres UANL

Veljko Paunović will likely set up a compact mid-block, looking to slow the game down and frustrate the home crowd. They have the experience to manage these situations perfectly. Expect them to target the space behind Jesús Gallardo with Diego Lainez’s speed. Gignac will drop deep to hold up play and buy fouls. Their main goal is to survive the opening storm.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Key Battles

Paulinho vs Pizarro — Top scorer vs converted CB
Vega vs Aquino — Dribbler vs Veteran full-back
Ruiz vs Brunetta — Battle for midfield creativity
Volpi vs Gignac — Goalkeeper vs Legend

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Spotlight Players

Toluca — Paulinho

The Portuguese striker has been the signing of the season. With Toluca needing goals, he is the man they will look to. He dominates in the air and needs just one chance to level the tie.

Tigres UANL — Nahuel Guzmán

“El Patón” loves these moments. He thrives on being the villain in away stadiums. He made two crucial saves in the first leg and will likely need to make three or four more to secure the title.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Prediction

Toluca 2–1 Tigres UANL (Aggregate 2–2)

Toluca are a different beast at home. They will find the goals to overturn the deficit, but Tigres’ resilience and experience will see them score a vital goal to keep it close. This feels like a match destined for Extra Time and Penalties, where Nahuel Guzmán often becomes the hero.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Betting Insights

Toluca to Win (Match Result) — Yes (Home advantage)
Over 2.5 Goals — Likely (Toluca must open up)
To Lift the Trophy — Tigres UANL (Experience edge)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — Where to Watch

Mexico: Canal 5, TUDN, ViX+
USA: Univision, TUDN
International: YouTube (Claro Sports – Select Regions)

Toluca vs Tigres UANL — FAQs

Q: When is the Toluca vs Tigres match?

A: The match kicks off on Monday, 15 December 2025, at 20:00 CST (local time).

Q: Is Alexis Vega playing?

A: He is listed as questionable with a muscle injury. A late fitness test will decide his participation.

Q: What happens if the aggregate score is tied?

A: In the Final, there is no away goals rule and no table position tiebreaker. If tied on aggregate after 90 minutes, the match goes to Extra Time, and then Penalties if necessary.

Q: Who won the first leg?

A: Tigres UANL won 1–0 at home on December 12.