Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Preview & Prediction

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Match Preview

This is not just a match; it’s a “six-point” final in a desperate fight against relegation. Two giants of Brazilian football, Grêmio and Vasco da Gama, collide at the Arena do Grêmio with their top-flight survival on the line.

The table tells a terrifying story. Grêmio, in 14th, is in a “passive” slump, having won only one of their last five matches. They are just five points clear of the 17th-place relegation spot. Vasco da Gama, in 10th, is not much safer and is in a complete freefall. They are on a 3-match losing streak, culminating in a humiliating 1-3 home defeat to Juventude that has fans “crying” with outrage.

The pressure is immense. Grêmio knows a home loss pulls them into the crisis. Vasco arrives with a squad “decimated” by injuries and suspensions, knowing a fourth straight loss could be catastrophic.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Quick Match Info

Fixture: Grêmio vs. Vasco da Gama
Competition: Brazilian Serie A
Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Date: 19 November 2025
Time: 23:30 UTC / 05:00 IST (20 Nov)
Prediction: Grêmio 1–0 Vasco da Gama
Key Narrative: A high-stakes relegation battle. Grêmio’s home advantage faces a Vasco team in freefall and “decimated” by injuries.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — What’s at Stake

For Grêmio: This is a “must-not-lose” home match. A win would give them a crucial cushion from the relegation zone and push a direct rival further down. A loss would be a disaster, pulling them right into the center of the survival scrap.
For Vasco da Gama: This is a test of their will to survive. On a 3-match losing streak and missing key players, a draw on the road would be seen as a “golden point.” A loss would be their fourth in a row, sending the club into a complete crisis.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Team Form

Grêmio (Last 5): L-D-L-W-L

Ice cold. Just one win in their last five matches.
Coming off a 2-2 draw with Fortaleza and a 1-0 loss to Cruzeiro.
The team is “struggling for goals” and “needs to react,” according to fans.

Vasco da Gama (Last 5): L-L-L-W-W

Freefall. On a 3-match losing streak, conceding 8 goals in that time.
Just suffered a humiliating 1-3 home loss to Juventude.
Their defense has “collapsed” in recent weeks.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Team News

Grêmio — Team News

OUT: Alex Santana (MID) and Marcos Rocha (DEF) are both ruled out with muscle injuries.
DOUBT: Arthur (MID) is a doubt due to physical wear but is optimistic about returning.
IMPACT: The loss of Rocha at right-back forces a shuffle, but the core of the attack (Braithwaite, Soteldo) is fit.

Vasco da Gama — Team News

CRITICAL ABSENCES: Vasco’s squad is “decimated.”
OUT: Paulinho (MID) and Jair (MID) are out with long-term ligament injuries.
OUT: Adson (FW) is out with a broken leg.
SUSPENDED: Paulo Henrique (DEF) is suspended after a red card.
IMPACT: Vasco is missing key players in every single line of the pitch (defense, midfield, and attack).

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Predicted Lineups

Grêmio (4-2-3-1)

GK: Marchesín
DEF: João Pedro, Geromel, Kannemann, Reinaldo
MID: Villasanti, Dodi
AMC: Pavón, Cristaldo, Soteldo
FW: Braithwaite

Vasco da Gama (4-3-3)

GK: Léo Jardim
DEF: Robert Rojas, Maicon, Léo, Lucas Piton
MID: Zé Gabriel, Galdames, Coutinho
FW: Rossi, Vegetti, David

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Spotlight Players

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio): The Danish international striker. In a team that struggles to score, the pressure is on him to be the finisher. His movement and experience will be the key to breaking down Vasco’s shaky defence.
Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio): The Paraguayan midfielder. He is the engine of the team, and his job will be to dominate the “decimated” Vasco midfield and control the tempo of the game.
Philippe Coutinho (Vasco da Gama): The star. He is the one player on Vasco’s team who can create a goal out of nothing. Everything Vasco does in attack will have to go through him.
Pablo Vegetti (Vasco da Gama): The veteran #9. He is a physical force and a proven goalscorer, but he will be isolated. He needs a big game to give his defence a rest.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Head to Head

This is a classic rivalry between two giants. Grêmio has historically had the upper hand, especially at home.

July 19, 2025: Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio
July 28, 2024: Grêmio 1–0 Vasco da Gama
April 14, 2024: Vasco da Gama 2–1 Grêmio
Dec 3, 2023: Grêmio 1–0 Vasco da Gama
Aug 6, 2023: Vasco da Gama 1–0 Grêmio
Trend: This is a very tight fixture. Four of the last five matches have been decided by a single goal.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Tactical Outlook

Grêmio Tactical Approach

Right-Side Attack: Grêmio’s style is to attack down the right flank and take long shots.
Counter-Attacks: With Vasco in disarray, expect Grêmio to press high, win the ball, and launch quick counters, using the pace of Soteldo and Pavón.
Weakness: They “struggle to keep possession” and are “very weak” at defending set pieces, which could give Vasco a chance.

Vasco da Gama Tactical Approach

Left-Side Attack: Vasco’s style is to play short passes and attack down the left flank (via Piton and David).
Desperate Defence: With so many players missing, their main goal will be to defend. However, their biggest weakness is “stopping opponents from creating chances.”
Weakness: Their defence is in “freefall” and they are “very weak” at “avoiding individual errors.” This is a terrible combination against a desperate home crowd.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Key Battles

Matchup	Battle Type	Edge
Braithwaite (GRE) vs. Maicon & Léo (VAS)	Finisher vs. Shaky Defence	Grêmio
Soteldo (GRE) vs. Robert Rojas (VAS)	Pace vs. Replacement	Grêmio
Coutinho (VAS) vs. Villasanti (GRE)	Creativity vs. Engine	Even
Grêmio’s Set Pieces vs. Vasco’s Defence	Tactical	Grêmio

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Statistical Snapshot

Metric	Grêmio (14th)	Vasco da Gama (10th)
Points	40	42
Relegation Risk	2.7%	(Higher than Grêmio, given form)
Form (Last 5)	L-D-L-W-L (4 pts)	L-L-L-W-W (6 pts)
Goals For (League)	35	50
Goals Conceded (League)	43	49

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Fan Reactions

Grêmio Fans:

“We only have a 2.7% chance of relegation, but we NEED to react!”
“This is a final. At home, against a broken team? A win is the only option.”
“If we lose this, we are in a real crisis. Wake up!”

Vasco da Fans:

“I was ‘crying’ after that Juventude loss. It was humiliating.”
“Another loss? To a direct rival? We are going down.”
“With all these injuries and suspensions… just pray for 0-0.”

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Where to Watch

USA: Paramount+, Fanatiz, DirecTV
Brazil: Premiere, TV Globo
India: (No confirmed broadcast, likely Fanatiz)
UK: (No confirmed broadcast)

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Match-Defining Factors

Vasco’s “Decimated” Squad: The number of injuries and suspensions for Vasco is the single biggest factor. They are bringing a “B-team” to a “six-point” final.
The “Crisis” Factor: Both teams are in terrible form, but Vasco’s is worse (3 straight losses). Their confidence is shattered.
Home Advantage: The Arena do Grêmio will be a loud, desperate, and hostile environment. This will be a huge boost for Grêmio.
The First Goal: If Grêmio scores first, Vasco’s morale will likely collapse. If Vasco can somehow score first, the home crowd will turn on their own players.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Prediction

Grêmio 1–0 Vasco da Gama

Why:

This will be an ugly, nervous, and low-quality match. Both teams are in terrible form. However, this match will be decided by two things: home advantage and squad availability.

Grêmio is at home, and while they are playing poorly, they are facing a Vasco da Gama side that is completely “decimated” by injuries and suspensions and is on a 3-match losing streak. Grêmio has the better attackers (Braithwaite, Soteldo) and will find one goal to win a “must-win” game, while Vasco’s crisis will get even deeper.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Final Word

This isn’t about beautiful football; it’s about survival. It’s a “six-point” game between two of Brazil’s most historic clubs, and both are staring into the abyss of relegation. Expect a tense, foul-heavy, and desperate 90 minutes.

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — FAQs

Q1: What time is the match?

05:00 AM IST on Thursday, November 20, 2025.

Q2: Why is this match so important?

It’s a “six-point” relegation battle. Both teams are just a few points above the relegation zone, and a loss here would be disastrous.

Q3: Who is missing for Vasco da Gama?

They are “decimated.” They are missing key midfielders Paulinho and Jair, forward Adson, and defender Paulo Henrique (suspended).

Q4: Who is the favorite?

Grêmio is the strong favorite due to their home advantage and Vasco’s crippling injury and suspension crisis.

Q5: Key players to watch?

For Grêmio: Martin Braithwaite (FW) and Mathías Villasanti (MID). For Vasco: Philippe Coutinho (MID).

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