Costa Rica vs Honduras — Preview & Prediction | World Cup Qualifiers 2025/26
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Match Preview
This is it. The Estadio Nacional in San José is the stage for a high-stakes, winner-takes-all (or loser-loses-all) World Cup qualifying match that has the entire region holding its breath. This is more than a game; it’s a Clásico Centroamericano with automatic qualification on the line.
The maths is brutal and beautiful. Honduras, sitting 1st in the group, needs only a single point—a draw—to officially book their ticket to the 2026 World Cup. Costa Rica, on the other hand, is on the brink of disaster. After a humiliating 1-0 loss to Haiti, Los Ticos find themselves in 3rd place. They must win this match and hope 2nd-place Haiti drops points against Nicaragua.
The pressure is immense. Honduras, stunned by a 2-0 loss to Nicaragua in their last outing, will be playing defensively for the draw. Costa Rica, playing at home, must throw everything forward in a desperate, all-or-nothing attack.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Quick Match Info
- Fixture: Costa Rica vs. Honduras
- Competition: CONCACAF World Cup Qualifiers (Final Round, Group C)1
- Venue: Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José2
- Date: 19 November 20253
- Time: 01:00 UTC (20 Nov) / 06:30 IST (20 Nov)
- Prediction: Costa Rica 1–1 Honduras
- Key Narrative: Do-or-die for Costa Rica. A draw is enough for Honduras. Expect a classic “attack vs. defence” battle defined by desperation and pressure.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — What’s at Stake
- For Costa Rica: Everything. Their campaign is on life support. A draw or a loss means they are eliminated from automatic qualification. They must win and pray for a favorable result from the Haiti match. It’s an all-out-attack, “win or go home” scenario.
- For Honduras: Qualification. They are in the driver’s seat. A single point guarantees their spot at the World Cup. They will not play an open game; their goal is to be defensively perfect, frustrate the hosts, and secure the 0-0 draw that feels like a victory.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Team Form
Costa Rica (Last 5 Qualifiers): L-W-D-D-D
- A team in a deep slump at the worst possible time.
- The 1-0 loss to Haiti in their last match was a “disaster,” dropping them to 3rd.
- They have only one win in their last five qualifiers.
- They dominate possession at home but have struggled to score goals.
Honduras (Last 5 Qualifiers): L-W-D-W-D
- Their 2-0 loss to Nicaragua was a shock and has put pressure on this final game.
- Despite the loss, their overall form has been strong (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss).
- They are a pragmatic, defensively-organized team that plays for the result.
- Their away form in qualifying has been poor (1 draw, 1 loss).4
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Team News
Costa Rica — Team News
- OUT: Fernán Faerron (CB), Joseph Mora (LB), and Cristopher Núñez (MID) are all expected to be out with injuries.
- PRESSURE ON STARS: The team is at full strength otherwise, meaning the full burden is on veterans like Keylor Navas (GK) and Joel Campbell (FW), and their young star Manfred Ugalde (FW) to deliver a miracle.
Honduras — Team News
- NO NEW INJURIES: Honduras reports a full-strength squad.
- KEY PLAYERS: Their European-based stars, Luis Palma (Celtic) and Anthony “Choco” Lozano (Getafe), will be tasked with leading the counter-attack and holding the ball to kill time.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Predicted Lineups
Costa Rica (5-3-2)
- GK: Navas
- DEF: Quirós, Calvo, Vargas, Mitchell, Lawrence
- MID: Aguilera, Galo, Campbell
- FW: Ugalde, Zamora5(Note: Expect an aggressive, attacking lineup with wing-backs pushing high).
Honduras (4-5-1)
- GK: Menjívar
- DEF: Najar, Maldonado, Montes, Rosales
- MID: Palma, Flores, Álvarez, Arriaga, Rodríguez6
- FW: Lozano(Note: A defensive, packed midfield designed to clog passing lanes and frustrate).
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Spotlight Players
- Manfred Ugalde (Costa Rica): The 23-year-old Spartak Moscow striker.7 With the team desperate for a goal, he is the man they will look to. His movement and finishing will be tested against a deep, packed defence.
- Keylor Navas (Costa Rica): The legendary goalkeeper.8 His team must win, meaning they will be vulnerable on the counter. Navas will likely face 2-3 moments where he must be perfect to keep his nation’s dream alive.
- Luis Palma (Honduras): The Celtic winger is Honduras’ most creative player. His job won’t be to attack for 90 minutes, but to be the lethal outlet on the counter-attack. His pace and delivery could be the single blow that ends Costa Rica’s hopes.
- Denil Maldonado (Honduras): The centre-back will be the leader of the “bus.” His job will be to organize the defence, win every aerial duel, and clear every cross. His performance will be key to securing the 0-0 draw.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Head to Head
This is one of the most evenly-matched rivalries in the region. The defining characteristic is the draw.
- Total Matches: 23
- Costa Rica Wins: 7
- Honduras Wins: 5
- Draws: 11
- Key Trend: The last two head-to-head matches have ended 0-0. Costa Rica is unbeaten in their last six matches against Honduras (2 Wins, 4 Draws).
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Tactical Outlook
Costa Rica Tactical Approach
- All-Out Attack: Manager Miguel Herrera has no choice. Expect Los Ticos to hold 70%+ possession, push their wing-backs high, and flood the box with crosses.
- Dominate but Don’t Score: Their biggest problem, as seen against Haiti, is a lack of cutting edge. They create chances but “struggle to convert.”
- Weakness: They will be completely exposed to the counter-attack.
Honduras Tactical Approach
- Park the Bus: Honduras will play for the draw. They will set up in a deep, 4-5-1 or 5-4-1 defensive block, ceding all possession to Costa Rica.
- Frustrate and Waste Time: Their goal is to frustrate the home crowd, break up the game with tactical fouls, and slow the match down.
- The Counter: They will keep Palma and Lozano high, waiting for one long ball or one mistake from Costa Rica’s over-committed defence.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Key Battles
| Matchup | Battle Type | Edge |
| Ugalde (CRC) vs. Maldonado (HON) | Finisher vs. Defensive Rock | Honduras |
| Campbell (CRC) vs. Álvarez (HON) | Creativity vs. Defensive Mid | Costa RicaL** |
| Palma (HON) vs. Costa Rica’s High Line | Pace vs. Vulnerability | Honduras |
| Costa Rica’s Attack vs. The Clock | Psychological | Honduras |
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Statistical Snapshot
| Metric | Costa Rica | Honduras |
| Group Position | 3rd (6 pts) | 1st (8 pts) |
| Group Goal Diff. | +3 (8 GF, 5 GA) | +5 (5 GF, 0 GA) |
| H2H (Last 6) | 2 Wins, 4 Draws | 0 Wins, 4 Draws |
| H2H Scoring | The last 2 H2H matches ended 0-0. | 73% of their 23 H2H matches have been Under 2.5 goals. |
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Fan Reactions
Costa Rica Fans:
- “It’s a disgrace that it’s come to this. We can’t even beat Haiti!”
- “Win or go home. No more excuses. Ugalde and Campbell MUST deliver.”
- “I’m terrified. We all know Honduras is just going to park the bus for 90 minutes and play for the 0-0.”
Honduras Fans:
- “We just need one point! ONE POINT! Don’t mess this up.”
- “After that Nicaragua loss, I’m nervous. But we own this. A draw is easy.”
- “Palma on the counter against their high line. It’s written in the stars. 1-0 Honduras!”
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Where to Watch
- USA: Paramount+, Fubo, Universo
- UK: CONCACAF YouTube (TBC)
- India: (No confirmed broadcast)
- Costa Rica: Teletica
- Honduras: TVC
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Match-Defining Factors
- The First Goal: If Costa Rica scores in the first 20 minutes, the game opens up. If it’s 0-0 at halftime, the pressure and frustration on the home side will be massive.
- Honduras’s Nerve: Can they really just play for a draw? A 2-0 loss to Nicaragua proved they are vulnerable. They might concede under pressure.
- The Ugalde vs. Honduras Defence Battle: This is the match. Can Costa Rica’s best young striker break down Honduras’s most organized unit?
- The Other Match: The stadium will be aware of the Haiti vs. Nicaragua score. If Haiti is winning, it adds even more frantic desperation for Costa Rica.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Prediction
Costa Rica 1–1 Honduras
Why:
This match has “agonizing draw” written all over it. Costa Rica has to win, but their biggest weakness is scoring goals. Honduras’s entire game plan will be to sit back and defend, and their history (11 draws in 23 meetings) proves they are masters of the stalemate.
Expect Costa Rica to have 75% possession, 20 shots, and a dozen missed chances. They will likely score one goal from pure desperation. But as they push everyone forward, Honduras will get one perfect counter-attack. A 1-1 draw is the most likely, and most painful, outcome for Los Ticos, and it will be celebrated like a victory by Honduras.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — Final Word
This isn’t just a rivalry; it’s a final exam. Costa Rica, a nation used to World Cup glory, is on the verge of failure. Honduras is on the verge of success. It will be 90 minutes of pure tension, with one team’s dream coming true and the other’s turning into a nightmare.
Costa Rica vs Honduras — FAQs
Q1: What time is the match?
06:30 AM IST on Thursday, November 20, 2025.
Q2: What does Costa Rica need to qualify?
Costa Rica must win against Honduras and hope that Haiti (who plays Nicaragua) either draws or loses.
Q3: What does Honduras need to qualify?
Honduras only needs a draw (one point) to secure automatic qualification for the World Cup.
Q4: Who is the favorite?
Costa Rica is the slight favorite because they are playing at home, but the pressure is all on them. The H2H (head-to-head) is full of draws.
Q5: Key players to watch?
For Costa Rica: Manfred Ugalde (FW) and Keylor Navas (GK).9 For Honduras: Luis Palma (FW) and Denil Maldonado (DEF).
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