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Sporting CP vs Rio Ave: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Primeira Liga 2025/26

On: December 25, 2025 1:25 PM
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Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Match Preview

The “Lions” of Lisbon welcome Rio Ave to the Estádio José Alvalade on Sunday, 28 December 2025, for a crucial Primeira Liga clash. Sporting CP are flying high in 2nd place with 38 points, boasting the league’s most lethal attack (42 goals scored). They come into this game off a resounding 4–1 away victory over Vitória de Guimarães on Christmas Eve. Rio Ave, sitting mid-table in 10th with 17 points, have been the league’s draw specialists (8 draws in 15 games). The visitors will look to frustrate the hosts, but they face a daunting task against a Sporting side that has won the last four meetings between the two.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Match Info

  • Competition: Primeira Liga (Matchday 16)
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon (Capacity: 52,095)
  • Date: Sunday, 28 December 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:30 WET | 21:30 CET | 15:30 ET
  • Referee: TBC (FPF Appointment)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Match Stakes

Sporting CP (2nd — 38 pts):

  • Win → Moves to 41 pts; keeps the pressure on the league leaders (likely Benfica or Porto)
  • Draw → A massive slip-up at home; could see the gap to 1st place widen
  • Loss → Unthinkable given current form; would break their momentum heading into the New Year

Rio Ave (10th — 17 pts):

  • Win → Moves to 20 pts; propels them into the top half of the table
  • Draw → A superb result at Alvalade; continues their reputation as a tough nut to crack
  • Loss → Keeps them in the mid-table pack; goal difference could take a hit against Sporting’s attack

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Team News

Sporting CP:

  • Gonçalves P. (Pote) — Available (Key Creator – In fine form)
  • Gyökeres V. — Available (Top Scorer – Rested late in the Guimarães game)
  • Inácio G. — Questionable (Minor knock vs Guimarães)
  • Hjulmand M. — Available (Captain & Midfield Anchor)
  • Rotation: With a tight schedule (played Dec 24), the manager may rotate wing-backs.

Rio Ave:

  • Clayton — Available (Target man)
  • Vrousai M. — Available (Creative threat)
  • Santos A. — Out (Suspended – Yellow Cards)
  • Mishta — Questionable (Flu)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Sporting CP

  • 24/12 — 4–1 vs Vitória Guimarães (Liga Portugal)
  • 19/12 — 3–2 vs Santa Clara (Taça de Portugal – AET)
  • 14/12 — 6–0 vs AFS (Liga Portugal)
  • 09/12 — 1–3 vs Bayern Munich (UCL)
  • 06/12 — 1–1 vs Benfica (Liga Portugal)

Rio Ave

  • 20/12 — 2–2 vs Gil Vicente (Liga Portugal)
  • 13/12 — 0–1 vs Vitória Guimarães (Liga Portugal)
  • 06/12 — 2–1 vs AFS (Liga Portugal)
  • 30/11 — 1–1 vs Santa Clara (Liga Portugal)
  • 08/11 — 1–1 vs Alverca (Liga Portugal)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

  • 23/04/2025 — Rio Ave 1–2 Sporting CP (Taça de Portugal)
  • 04/04/2025 — Sporting CP 2–0 Rio Ave (Taça de Portugal)
  • 18/01/2025 — Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP (Liga Portugal)
  • 10/08/2024 — Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave (Liga Portugal)
  • 26/02/2024 — Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP (Liga Portugal)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Sporting CP (3-4-3)

Israel; Debast, Diomande, Reis; Quenda, Hjulmand, Bragança, Nuno Santos; Trincão, Gyökeres, Pote

Rio Ave (3-4-3)

Jhonatan; Pantalon, William, Panzo; Tomé, Oudrhiri, Novais, Richards; Bondoso, Clayton, Vrousai

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Impact Bench

Sporting CP: Harder (Goal threat), Edwards (Dribbling vs tired legs)

Rio Ave: Graça (Midfield energy), Zoabi (Attacking spark)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Tactical Analysis

Sporting CP

The Lions are scoring for fun (averaging nearly 3 goals per game). Their 3-4-3 system overwhelms opponents, with Viktor Gyökeres acting as the battering ram and Pote/Trincão operating in the half-spaces. Against a deep block, they will rely on quick switches of play to Geovany Quenda or Nuno Santos to stretch Rio Ave’s back five.

Rio Ave

Rio Ave will set up in a compact 5-4-1 low block, trying to deny space for Gyökeres to run into. Their strength lies in their organization (8 draws show they are hard to beat), but they lack firepower (-5 goal difference). They will look to slow the game down and hit on the counter through the pace of Vrousai, hoping to catch Sporting’s high defensive line napping.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Key Battles

  • Gyökeres vs William — The league’s best striker vs Rio Ave’s defensive leader
  • Hjulmand vs Novais — Battle for midfield supremacy
  • Quenda vs Richards — Pace on the flank
  • Israel vs Clayton — Sporting GK needs to stay focused on rare counters

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Spotlight Players

Sporting CP — Francisco Trincão

In excellent form recently, his ability to cut inside and shoot or thread the final pass has been unlocking defenses that sit deep.

Rio Ave — Jhonatan

The goalkeeper will be the busiest man in Lisbon. He needs a “performance of the season” to keep Sporting’s rampant attack at bay.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Prediction

Sporting CP 3–0 Rio Ave

Rio Ave are stubborn, but Sporting CP are on a different level offensively right now. Having scored 10 goals in their last two league games, the hosts should have too much quality and intensity for the visitors. Expect a comfortable home win to end the year.

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Betting Insights

  • Sporting CP -1.5 Handicap — High Probability
  • Viktor Gyökeres to Score — Almost Guaranteed given form
  • Over 2.5 Goals — Likely

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — Where to Watch

  • Portugal: Sport TV 1
  • International: TrillerTV+, GolTV, DAZN (Select Markets)

Sporting CP vs Rio Ave — FAQs

Q: When is the Sporting vs Rio Ave match?

A: The match is expected to kick off on Sunday, 28 December 2025, at 20:30 WET.

Q: Is Sporting CP in good form?

A: Yes, they have won 3 of their last 4 matches and scored 4 goals in their last game.

Q: How many draws does Rio Ave have?

A: Rio Ave has drawn 8 of their 15 league matches this season.

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