Benfica vs Estoril: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Primeira Liga 2025/26

Benfica vs Estoril — Match Preview

The Estádio da Luz prepares for a Lisbon regional clash on Sunday, 4 January 2026, as title-chasers Benfica host a resurgent Estoril Praia. The Eagles remain unbeaten in the league (10 wins, 6 draws) and sit 3rd with 36 points, but a frustrating 2–2 draw against Braga in their last outing has left them needing a response to keep pace with the league leaders. Estoril, meanwhile, have turned a corner. After a shaky start, they have won back-to-back games—including a shock 1–0 win over Braga and a 4–1 thrashing of Alverca—climbing to 9th place. However, they face a daunting task at the Luz without their talisman Rafik Guitane.

Benfica vs Estoril — Match Info

• Competition: Primeira Liga (Matchday 17)
• Venue: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon (Capacity: 68,100)
• Date: Sunday, 4 January 2026
• Kickoff: 18:00 WET | 19:00 CET | 13:00 ET
• Referee: Anzhony Rodrigues (POR)²

Benfica vs Estoril — Match Stakes

Benfica (3rd — 36 pts):

• Win → Moves to 39 pts; maintains the unbeaten streak and keeps pressure on Sporting and Porto.
• Draw → A disaster for title hopes; too many draws (currently 6) are stalling their progress.
• Loss → Unthinkable at home; would cause massive unrest among the Benfiquistas.

Estoril (9th — 20 pts):

• Win → Moves to 23 pts; a massive statement win that could push them towards the European places.
• Draw → A fantastic result at the Luz; extends the unbeaten run to 3 games.
• Loss → Expected but halts momentum; keeps them mid-table.

Benfica vs Estoril — Team News

Benfica:

• Lukebakio D. — Out (Broken Ankle – Season Blow)
• Bah A. — Out (Knee Injury – Starting RB Missing)
• Felix N. — Out (Knee Injury)
• Bruma — Questionable (Achilles Tendon – Late test)
• Squad Depth: With Bah out, Tomas Araujo or Issa Kabore will likely step in at right-back.

Estoril:

• Guitane R. — Out (International Duty – Huge Loss/AFCON)
• Xeka — Out (Knee Injury – Midfield Anchor Missing)
• Costa G. — Out (Injury)
• Lopes Cabral S. — Questionable (Inactive)
• Creative Void: Without Rafik Guitane (their best dribbler and creator), Estoril must rely heavily on Jordan Holsgrove for creativity.

Benfica vs Estoril — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Benfica

• 28/12 — 2–2 vs Braga (Liga Portugal)
• 23/12 — 1–0 vs Famalicão (Liga Portugal)
• 18/12 — 2–0 vs SC Farense (Taça de Portugal)
• 14/12 — 4–0 vs Moreirense (Liga Portugal)
• 11/12 — 2–0 vs Napoli (UCL)

Estoril

• 28/12 — 4–1 vs Alverca (Liga Portugal)
• 20/12 — 1–0 vs Braga (Liga Portugal)
• 14/12 — 0–4 vs Famalicão (Liga Portugal)
• 07/12 — 3–3 vs Moreirense (Liga Portugal)
• 01/12 — 0–1 vs FC Porto (Liga Portugal)

Benfica vs Estoril — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 04/05/2025 — Estoril 1–2 Benfica (Liga Portugal)
• 24/12/2024 — Benfica 3–0 Estoril (Liga Portugal)
• 11/03/2024 — Benfica 3–1 Estoril (Liga Portugal)
• 25/01/2024 — Benfica 1–1 Estoril (Taça da Liga – Estoril won on pens)
• 08/10/2023 — Estoril 0–1 Benfica (Liga Portugal)

Benfica vs Estoril — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Benfica (4-2-3-1)

Trubin; Araujo, Otamendi, A. Silva, Carreras; Florentino, Kokcu; Di Maria, Aursnes, Aktürkoğlu; Pavlidis

Estoril (4-3-3)

Robles; Pina, Boma, Mangala, Amaral; Zanocelo, Holsgrove, Carvalho; Marques, Begraoui, Fabricio (Replacing Guitane)

Benfica vs Estoril — Impact Bench

Benfica: Cabral (Physical option), Prestianni (Dribbling skill)

Estoril: Michel (Midfield energy), Andrade (Pace on break)

Benfica vs Estoril — Tactical Analysis

Benfica

Bruno Lage’s men dominate possession at the Luz but sometimes struggle to break down low blocks. The loss of Lukebakio removes a direct threat, meaning Angel Di Maria will need to drift inside to create overloads. They will look to exploit Estoril’s left side, forcing Pedro Amaral back.

Estoril

Estoril have been scoring freely recently (4 goals vs Alverca), but the absence of Rafik Guitane changes their dynamic entirely. They will be less capable of holding the ball in the final third. Expect a disciplined 4-5-1 defensive shape, looking to release Alejandro Marques on the counter-attack. Mangala’s experience in central defense will be vital against Pavlidis.

Benfica vs Estoril — Key Battles

• Pavlidis vs Mangala — Top striker vs Veteran defender.
• Di Maria vs Amaral — World-class winger vs Estoril’s left-back.
• Kokcu vs Holsgrove — Battle of the playmakers in the circle.
• Trubin vs Begraoui — Benfica GK needs to stay focused on counters.

Benfica vs Estoril — Spotlight Players

Benfica — Orkun Kökçü

With Benfica needing to break down a stubborn defense, the Turkish international’s passing range and long shots are crucial. He dictates the tempo.

Estoril — Jordan Holsgrove

With Guitane out, Holsgrove is the man. His set-piece delivery and ability to transition play are Estoril’s only hope of upsetting the Eagles.

Benfica vs Estoril — Prediction

Benfica 3–1 Estoril

Estoril are in good form, but losing their best player (Guitane) and their midfield anchor (Xeka) against Benfica is too big a hurdle. Benfica are a different beast at home, and despite their injury issues, they have the firepower to secure a comfortable win.

Benfica vs Estoril — Betting Insights

• Benfica to Win & Over 2.5 Goals — High Probability.
• Angel Di Maria to Score or Assist — Likely.
• Both Teams to Score — YES (Estoril have scored 5 goals in last 2 games).

Benfica vs Estoril — Where to Watch

• Portugal: BTV (Benfica TV)
• International: TrillerTV+, GolTV

Benfica vs Estoril — FAQs

Q: When is the Benfica vs Estoril match?

A: The match kicks off on Sunday, 4 January 2026, at 18:00 WET.

Q: Is Rafik Guitane playing?

A: No. He is on international duty (likely AFCON).

Q: Who is favored?

A: Benfica are heavy favorites due to home advantage and Estoril’s key absences.

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