Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | Championship 2025/26

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Match Preview

The EFL Championship kicks off 2026 with a New Year’s Day battle at Pride Park on Thursday, 1 January 2026. Promotion-chasing Middlesbrough travel to the East Midlands sitting 2nd in the table (43 points) but enduring a festive wobble, having lost two of their last three matches, including a shock 0–1 home defeat to Hull City. Derby County, managed by John Eustace, are comfortable in 14th (32 points) but are struggling to turn performances into points, coming off a 2–1 loss to Leicester City. With Boro desperate to cling to the automatic promotion spots and Derby looking to start the year with a statement win, this clash promises intensity.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Match Info

• Competition: EFL Championship (Matchday 25)
• Venue: Pride Park, Derby (Capacity: 33,597)
• Date: Thursday, 1 January 2026
• Kickoff: 15:00 GMT | 10:00 ET
• Referee: Andrew Kitchen (ENG)

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Match Stakes

Derby County (14th — 32 pts):

• Win → Moves to 35 pts; reignites faint playoff hopes and pushes them into the top half.
• Draw → Stabilizes the ship after the Leicester loss; continues their reputation as a tough nut to crack.
• Loss → Extends winless run to 4 games; risks slipping closer to the relegation scrap if teams below win.

Middlesbrough (2nd — 43 pts):

• Win → Moves to 46 pts; vital for staying in the automatic promotion places ahead of the chasing pack (Leeds/Sheffield Utd).
• Draw → Stops the rot of recent defeats but allows leaders Coventry to pull further away.
• Loss → A crisis of confidence; third defeat in four games would set off alarm bells for manager Kim Hellberg.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Team News

Derby County:

• Morris C. — Out (Ankle Injury – Key Striker Missing)
• Beck O. — Out (Hamstring Injury)
• Ozoh D. — Out (Thigh Injury – Midfield engine missing)
• Johnston M. — Questionable (Hamstring)
• Forward Line: With Morris out, the scoring burden falls on the shoulders of Ben Brereton Díaz and Rhian Brewster.

Middlesbrough:

• Lenihan D. — Out (Achilles Tendon Injury – Season Ending)
• McGree R. — Out (Injury – Creative Spark Missing)
• Edmundson G. — Questionable (Injury)
• Jones A. — Questionable (Injury)
• Defensive Shuffle: Injuries to Lenihan and Jones mean Luke Ayling and Matt Clarke will need to step up in a reshuffled backline.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Derby County

• 30/12 — 1–2 vs Leicester City (Championship)
• 26/12 — 1–1 vs Birmingham City (Championship)
• 20/12 — 1–1 vs Portsmouth (Championship)
• 16/12 — 3–0 vs Sheffield Wed (Championship)
• 11/12 — 1–1 vs Millwall (Championship)

Middlesbrough

• 30/12 — 0–1 vs Hull City (Championship)
• 26/12 — 0–0 vs Blackburn Rovers (Championship)
• 20/12 — 0–2 vs Bristol City (Championship)
• 13/12 — 3–1 vs QPR (Championship)
• 10/12 — 2–1 vs Charlton (Championship)

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 29/11/2025 — Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby (Championship)
• 01/03/2025 — Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby (Championship)
• 17/08/2024 — Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough (Championship)
• 12/02/2022 — Middlesbrough 4–1 Derby (Championship)
• 21/08/2021 — Derby 0–0 Middlesbrough (Championship)

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Derby County (4-2-3-1)

Widell Zetterstrom; Sanderson, Clarke, Langas, Elder; Thompson, Clark; Ward, Brewster, Agyemang; Brereton Diaz

Middlesbrough (4-2-3-1)

Brynn; Brittain, Ayling, Targett, Bangura; Hackney, Gilbert; Whittaker, Burgzorg, Strelec; Conway

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Impact Bench

Derby County: Mendez-Laing (Pace/Experience), Nelson (Defensive cover)

Middlesbrough: Hamilton (Dribbling), Latte Lath (Goal threat if fit)

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Tactical Analysis

Derby County

John Eustace’s side is built on solidity, but injuries have forced a reshuffle. Without Carlton Morris to hold up the ball, Derby will look to play faster in transition, utilising the pace of Brereton Diaz and Agyemang in the channels. They will target Boro’s makeshift defense, particularly looking to overload the wide areas where Ryan Giles/Bangura pushes forward.

Middlesbrough

Kim Hellberg’s possession-heavy style has stalled recently, scoring zero goals in their last three games. The absence of Riley McGree is hurting their creativity. They need Hayden Hackney to dictate the tempo from deep and release Morgan Whittaker early. Boro will likely dominate the ball (60%+), but they must be wary of Derby’s counter-attack at Pride Park.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Key Battles

• Brereton Diaz vs Ayling — Speed vs Experience; huge mismatch if Diaz gets space.
• Hackney vs Thompson — The battle for midfield control.
• Whittaker vs Elder — Boro’s star man cutting inside against the veteran full-back.
• Widell Zetterstrom vs Conway — Derby’s GK needs to be alert to close-range finishes.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Spotlight Players

Derby County — Ben Brereton Díaz

With Morris out, the Chilean international is the main man. His ability to drift wide and cut inside makes him a nightmare to mark. He scored in the reverse fixture last season and loves the big stage.

Middlesbrough — Morgan Whittaker

The winger has been Boro’s talisman all season but has gone quiet during their recent slump. If Boro are to reignite their promotion charge, Whittaker needs to rediscover his magic touch on New Year’s Day.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Prediction

Derby County 1–1 Middlesbrough

Both teams are out of form and missing key offensive players (Morris for Derby, McGree for Boro). Middlesbrough’s recent goal drought (3 games without scoring) is concerning, while Derby are the draw specialists of the league. A tight, nervy affair seems likely, with the points shared to start 2026.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Betting Insights

• Draw — High Value (Derby draw often at home).
• Under 2.5 Goals — Likely (Boro struggling to score, Derby solid defensively).
• Half-Time Result: Draw — Very Likely.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Where to Watch

• UK: Sky Sports Football / Sky Sports+
• International: iFollow (Select Regions)

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — FAQs

Q: When is the Derby vs Middlesbrough match?

A: The match kicks off on Thursday, 1 January 2026, at 15:00 GMT.

Q: Is Carlton Morris playing?

A: No, the Derby striker is out with an ankle injury.

Q: Who is the favorite?

A: Middlesbrough are slight favorites due to their league position (2nd), but their recent form makes this a 50/50 contest.

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