Senegal vs Sudan: Prediction, Lineups, Kickoff Time | AFCON 2025 Round of 16

Senegal vs Sudan — Match Preview

The knockout stages of AFCON 2025 explode into life on Saturday, 3 January 2026, as defending champions Senegal take on the Falcons of Jediane at the Grand Stade de Tanger. The Lions of Teranga cruised through Group D, sealing top spot with a commanding 3–0 win over Benin, but they did so at a cost, losing their captain Kalidou Koulibaly to a red card.² Sudan, making their first knockout appearance since 2012, scrapped their way through as one of the best third-placed teams despite a 0–2 loss to Burkina Faso in their final group game.³ Under James Kwesi Appiah, Sudan have been stubborn, but facing the title holders is a mountain to climb.+2

Senegal vs Sudan — Match Info

• Competition: AFCON 2025 (Round of 16)
• Venue: Grand Stade de Tanger, Tangier (Capacity: 68,000)
• Date: Saturday, 3 January 2026
• Kickoff: 17:00 Local | 16:00 GMT | 11:00 ET
• Referee: TBC (CAF Appointment)

Senegal vs Sudan — Match Stakes

Senegal:

• Win → Quarter-Final berth vs Mali or Tunisia; keeps the title defense alive.
• Loss → Shock exit for the tournament favorites; end of an era for the “Golden Generation.”

Sudan:

• Win → Historic upset; first Quarter-Final appearance in decades.
• Loss → Elimination, but a respectable tournament run after escaping a tough group.

Senegal vs Sudan — Team News

Senegal:

• Koulibaly K. — Out (Suspended – Red Card vs Benin).
• Camara I. — Out (Muscle Injury).
• Diao A. — Out (Thigh Injury – unlikely to feature).
• Defensive Reshuffle: Without Koulibaly, Chelsea loanee Mamadou Sarr or Abdoulaye Seck will step in to partner Moussa Niakhaté.
• Jackson N. — Available (In fine form, expected to lead the line with Mané).

Sudan:

• Eisa A. — Questionable (Injury – missed last game).
• Alhassan S. — Questionable (Knock).
• Rested Legs: Coach Kwesi Appiah rested several key starters in the MD3 loss to Burkina Faso, so the first XI should be fresh.
• Tactical Approach: Expect a low block (5-4-1) to frustrate Senegal’s attack.

Senegal vs Sudan — Team Form (Last 5 Matches)

Senegal

• 31/12 — 3–0 vs Benin (AFCON)
• 27/12 — 1–1 vs DR Congo (AFCON)
• 23/12 — 3–0 vs Botswana (AFCON)
• 18/11 — 8–0 vs Kenya (Friendly)
• 15/11 — 0–2 vs Brazil (Friendly)

Sudan

• 31/12 — 0–2 vs Burkina Faso (AFCON)
• 28/12 — 1–0 vs Equatorial Guinea (AFCON)
• 24/12 — 0–3 vs Algeria (AFCON)
• 09/12 — 1–3 vs Bahrain (Arab Cup)
• 06/12 — 0–2 vs Iraq (Arab Cup)

Senegal vs Sudan — Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

• 06/09/2025 — Senegal 2–0 Sudan (WC Qualifier)
• 29/08/2025 — Sudan 1–2 Senegal (CHAN)
• 19/08/2025 — Sudan 0–0 Senegal (CHAN)
• 23/03/2025 — Sudan 0–0 Senegal (WC Qualifier)
• 16/10/2018 — Sudan 0–1 Senegal (AFCON Qualifier)

Senegal vs Sudan — Playing XI (Predicted Lineups)

Senegal (4-3-3)

Mendy; Sabaly, Seck, Niakhate, Jakobs; P. Sarr, Gueye, Camara; I. Sarr, Jackson, Mané

Sudan (4-5-1)

Abu-Eshrein; Khamis, Karshom, Ereng, Tabanja; Abdelrahman, Khidir, Raouf, Taifour, Omer; Eisa (or Abdel-Rahman if Eisa unfit)

Senegal vs Sudan — Impact Bench

Senegal: H. Diallo (Goal poacher), Ndiaye (Creative spark)

Sudan: Yagoub (Pace on counter), Nooh (Young forward)

Senegal vs Sudan — Tactical Analysis

Senegal

The absence of Kalidou Koulibaly is the biggest talking point. Senegal lose their leader and best distributor from the back. Sudan will likely allow Senegal to have the ball (expect 65%+ possession for the Lions) and try to catch the new CB pairing cold on the break. However, Senegal’s attack is purring; Nicolas Jackson and Sadio Mané have too much movement for most defenses to handle for 90 minutes.

Sudan

Sudan’s game plan will be simple: survive. They will pack the midfield, disrupt Senegal’s rhythm with fouls, and look for set-pieces. Goalkeeper Ali Abu-Eshrein will need to have the game of his life. Their best chance is to drag this deep into the second half at 0–0 and make Senegal nervous.

Senegal vs Sudan — Key Battles

• Mané vs Karshom — The world-class winger vs Sudan’s defensive rock.
• P. Sarr vs Khidir — Midfield energy battle; Sarr must stop Sudan’s counters at the source.
• Jackson vs Khamis — Chelsea striker’s pace against Sudan’s fullback.
• Mendy vs Concentration — Senegal’s GK might not see the ball for 89 minutes but needs to make one save.

Senegal vs Sudan — Spotlight Players

Senegal — Nicolas Jackson

The Chelsea forward has finally found his feet in national colors. With Koulibaly out, the team needs goals to kill the game early and calm the nerves. Jackson’s link-up play with Mané will be the key to unlocking Sudan’s low block.

Sudan — Mohamed Abdel-Rahman

“Gharbal” is Sudan’s talisman. If they are to score a shock goal, it will likely come through him. He needs to be clinical with the one or two half-chances he might get.

Senegal vs Sudan — Prediction

Senegal 2–0 Sudan

Sudan have done remarkably well to get here, but the gap in quality is immense. Even without Koulibaly, Senegal have enough depth and experience to navigate this tie. Expect a stubborn first half from Sudan, but the Lions of Teranga should eventually break through and control the game comfortably.

Senegal vs Sudan — Betting Insights

• Senegal to Win to Nil — High Probability.
• Sadio Mané to Score — High Value (Takes penalties).¹⁸
• Under 2.5 Goals — Possible (Sudan will park the bus).

Senegal vs Sudan — Where to Watch

• UK: Sky Sports Football / BBC Three
• Africa: SuperSport / Canal+ Afrique
• International: beIN Sports

Senegal vs Sudan — FAQs

Q: When is the Senegal vs Sudan match?

A: The match kicks off on Saturday, 3 January 2026, at 16:00 GMT.19

Q: Is Kalidou Koulibaly playing?

A: No. The Senegal captain is suspended after receiving a red card in the last group game.20

Q: Who is the favorite?

A: Senegal are overwhelming favorites as the defending champions and Group D winners.21

Call to Action — SportsphereArena Community

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